Cold enough for you out there? At least one happy snowman has been given a new lease on life as recent scientific studies are now predicting that the earth's current cooling trend will continue for some time to come. Whether the result is frightful or delightful remains to be seen, but the global warming alarm bells of previous years seem conspicuously silent under this winter's new blanket of snow. Even Al Gore would seem to be in hibernation as repeated challenges to debate his questionable science remain unanswered.
Just six or eight months ago, going through a day without numerous references to the fiery calamity awaiting humanity was next to impossible. Now, I'm hard pressed to find much of anything "new" on the subject as an increasing number of scientists are beginning to warm up to the idea of a coming ice age. According to data from the Jason Oceanographic Satellite, a cooling trend may be in the forecast until at least 2030.
Writing recently in Pravda, columnist Gregory Fegal states:
The earth is now on the brink of entering another Ice Age, according to a large and compelling body of evidence from within the field of climate science. Many sources of data which provide our knowledge base of long-term climate change indicate that the warm, twelve thousand year-long Holocene period will rather soon be coming to an end, and then the earth will return to Ice Age conditions for the next 100,000 years.
This sounds much like the opinion of Science Magazine in 1975:
According to the Academy [the NAS] report on climate, we may be approaching the end of a major interglacial cycle, with the approach of a full-blown 100-year long ice age a real possibility…with ice packs building up relatively quickly from local snowfall that fails to melt form winter to winter.
Fegel suggests that the current global warming model "is based on data that is drawn from a ridiculously narrow span of time and it demonstrates a wanton disregard for the ‘big picture' of long-term climate change". While noted for his controversial views, I couldn’t agree more with Mr. Fegel on this point.
Readers may also be interested in this 1974 Time Magazine article entitled Another Ice Age?
In addition to record snowfalls this year, we're also accumulating a significant amount of data that contradicts previous assertions by those in the alarmist camp. I wrote about much of this in a previous post, but given recent reports and the current media shift, I thought the idea was worth revisiting.
According to the Old Farmer's Almanac, meteorologist and climatologist Joseph D’Aleo states:
We at the Almanac are among those who believe that sunspot cycles and their effects on oceans correlate with climate changes. Studying these and other factor suggests that cold, not warm, climate may be our future.
Looking at NASA's newly corrected data on global mean temperatures for the last 10 years, it's difficult to ascertain any significant trend in either direction.
As with most things, a greater perspective often illuminates more of the picture. When we view global temperatures from a 2,000 year vantage point, an entirely different pattern emerges.
Dr. Craig Loehle has done extensive research using oxygen isotope data from deep core samples and stalagmites as well as pollen counts, diatoms in lake sediment and other methods to produce the two thousand-year temperature graph below.
This data supports the theory of a medieval warming period (MWP) that until recently, had been accepted as general fact. Prior to 1990, scientists widely agreed that countless studies of tree rings, ice cores and sediment samples, in addition to written records and ledgers of harvest totals from the era, all pointed conclusively to an unusually warm cycle in the earth's climate. Much warmer in fact, than the temperatures we've experienced in this current cycle that have prompted such alarmism.
Because this MWP occurred before man made emissions and our crude addiction to fossil fuels could be blamed, much of the global warming community has worked diligently to bury or discredit this line of reasoning. Anthropogenic (based upon human activity) warming remains the overwhelming theme of the decade despite a great deal of evidence to the contrary and numerous credible voices expressing doubt about the currently accepted theories.
Given the economic woes currently facing our nation, the global warming debate may seem to be an insignificant topic, but under Kyoto's ever-present shadow and the new administration's stated positions on energy policy, cap and trade legislation and a general penchant for all things green, nothing could be further from the truth.
President-elect Obama's recent selection of Carol Browner to be the new global warming czar falls into place with my previous concerns about the coming administration. The topic of American Socialism is often met with skepticism, but it should be noted that Ms. Browner is one of 14 leaders of an organization called Socialist International — a group openly calling for the implementation of "democratic forms of global governance as the foundation for building a peaceful and sustainable world society overall."
One of Socialist International's charters states that "A principal task of new global governance must be to ensure that the benefits of global economic growth and the opportunities for economic development are distributed fairly." One can't help but wonder where Joe the Plumber is these days.
With at least four years of unchecked regulation and oversight ahead, we will most likely be investing billions of dollars in unproven and unreliable means of energy production while costs to the consumers skyrocket as established companies are forced to buy into a bogus carbon credit system. Proven oil reserves will remain untapped and the coal industry may well be put out of business as Mr. Obama has stated previously:
What I’ve said is that we would put a cap and trade system in place that is as aggressive, if not more aggressive, than anybody else’s out there.
So if somebody wants to build a coal-powered plant, they can; it’s just that it will bankrupt them because they’re going to be charged a huge sum for all that greenhouse gas that’s being emitted.
Our choice in light bulbs has already been mandated to the toxic and unpleasant CFL's in 2012. Inefficient, environmentally un-friendly bio-fuels are being rammed down our tanks, backyard BBQ's have been banned and recently fireplaces have been placed on the naughty list as Los Angeles Mayoral candidate Walter Moore rings in on a new government initiative in CA:
The Philosopher Kings of the South Coast Air Quality Management District (AQMD) have decided that government must stop you from burning wood in your fireplace.
The AQMD — which is funded with $125 million of your money each year – just made it illegal to install wood-burning fireplaces in new homes, and adopted regulations to stop you from using your existing fireplace on days they deem too polluted. In a region where massive wildfires are as routine as televised car chases, these kill-joys want to stop you from burning logs? Are you kidding me?
We've got ten jillion cars and trucks stuck in traffic, idling, for
about 18 out of every 24 hours. We've got a governor who fires up the
Gulfstream twice a day to commute from L.A. to Sacramento. We've got kids getting shot while minding their own business. And yet we need a new law to ban the burning of logs in fireplaces? Really?
Perhaps the most foul smelling bit of legislation on the table is the EPA's proposed flatulence tax that could cost farmers up to $175 per animal. If that flies, it would seem only fair that congress be assessed a carbon offset fee of $300 per person to compensate for all the hot air coming out of the capital these days.
In closing, I'd like to quantify this piece by stating again that there are numerous credible sources on both sides of this iron curtain. Extensive research has been done by many reputable scientists but clear, definitive proof for the concept of AGW simply does not exist. Without a tangible solution, or for that matter an obvious definition of the problem, it would be foolish and irresponsible to turn our economy upside down during this critical period. Once ceded, our freedoms and national sovereignty are not likely to return and I am hesitant to relinquish them so easily.
We all want clean air, fresh water to drink and the ability to experience the wonders of an unpolluted natural world, but these aspirations can be attained through market driven solutions and the free choices of our world's citizens.
Lest we forget, CO2 comprises approximately .03% of the atmosphere and roughly 97% of all CO2 is produced by non-human sources such as fermentation, forest fires and volcanoes. Of all the greenhouse gasses, water vapor represents nearly 95% of the total, followed by CO2, Methane, Nitrous Oxide (N2O) and misc. other gases making up the remaining five percent.
When all of the factors are taken into consideration, human activity accounts for less than one half one percent of all greenhouse gas contributions. The truth is out there, ‘al’beit inconvenient at times.