Traverse City Record-Eagle


Global Warming: Fact, fiction or fascism? [part II]

Troy Keith, The Armchair ConservativePicking up where we left of last… It’s all about the science, not media hype or political agendas. Behind the scenes and off the screens (TV), the tide is turning significantly and a growing number of scientists are jumping off the alarmist bandwagon. Fortunately, many credible authorities never got on in the first place.

Some interesting facts to get the ball rolling:

NASA lied, people fried… Okay, they didn't lie, but the data relied upon so heavily by Al Gore and others has been found to be dramatically flawed.

NASA data had previously shown 1998 to be the hottest year of the millennium, but after correcting their error, the distinction now goes to 1934. Four of the top 10 warmest years on record are now thought to be 1931, 1934, 1938 and 1939 with only three of the top 10 being within the last decade: 1998, 1999 and 2006. The temperatures of 2000, 2002, 2003 and 2004 were all shown to be below those of 1900.

Surf's up… catch the wave

Hmm… I'm starting to see a pattern here.

More than 31,000 scientists (that's more than 10,300 cubic meters of scientists) have signed a petition cautioning against global warming alarmism — a petition compiled with the assistance of former National Academy of Sciences (NAS) president Dr. Frederick Seitz that states, "There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth's atmosphere and disruption of the Earth's climate."

Apparently, it's not easy being green. According to the Department of Energy, the average American household uses 10,656 kilowatt hours per year, but in 2006, Al Gore's home consumed more than 20 times the national average using a whopping 221,000 kilowatt hours. In August of that year, Gore used more electricity in one month than the average family uses in an entire year and his energy usage continued to rise even after the release of “An Inconvenient Truth.”

In 2007, Justice Burton, a British judge of the High Court, examined Mr. Gore’s documentary, “An Inconvenient Truth.” He found that the “apocalyptic vision” presented in the film was not an impartial analysis of climate change but part of a politically partisan crusade and ruled that the film could be shown to school children but only if the errors were pointed out beforehand.

The Russian Vostok station located in central Antarctica has not registered any significant changes in average annual temperatures over 50 years of observations. It rose from -55.7 ° C in the early 1960s to -55.2 ° C in the middle 1980s, but went down by one tenth of a grade (to -55.3 ° C) in the beginning of the 21st century.

Carbon Dioxide (CO2) is not a pollutant, but a naturally occurring atmospheric substance.

CO2 makes up less than .054 percent of the atmosphere.

Volcanoes produce CO2 (maybe we should tax Pele?).

Animals produce more CO2 than volcanoes.

Decaying vegetation produces more CO2 than animals.

The OCEANS produce as much, if not more CO2 than vegetation, animals, volcanoes, and humans.

According to F. Michael Real of Chatham University, “Of the 186 billion tons of CO2 that enter earth’s atmosphere each year from all sources, only 6 billion tons are from human activity. Approximately 90 billion tons come from biologic activity in earth’s oceans and another 90 billion tons from such sources as volcanoes and decaying land plants.”

140,000 years ago the earth had record CO2 levels and there were, to quote Sherwood Schwartz, "no phones, no lights no motor cars, not a single luxury."

Dr. Michael Pidwirny, University of British Columbia Okanagan states, "Climatologists have used various techniques and evidence to reconstruct a history of the Earth’s past climate. From this data, they have found that during most of the Earth’s history, global temperatures were probably 8 to 15 degrees Celsius warmer than today."

An eight-year study by scientists and engineers from 10 European countries found that the Earth has experienced eight ice ages over the last 740,000 years and eight warmer periods in which temperatures very similar to today were found.

Following glacier recession at the end of the last glacial age, mountain glaciers expanded in size during the last three millennia, many reaching their greatest post-glacial size during the last 700 years. This recent interval of glacier growth, widely referred to as the Little Ice Age, culminated in major glacier expansions during the early to middle 17th century and the early to middle 19th century. Since about 1850, glaciers worldwide have experienced fluctuating retreat, so that today we commonly see belts of sparsely vegetated deglaciated terrain beyond receding ice margins.

According to the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), the global average temperature increased about 0.6 °C (~1 °F) during the last 100 years which is clearly well within the established ranges of change throughout history.

From August of 2007 through February of 2008, the Earth's mean temperature reading dropped to near the 200-year average temp of 57 degrees.

Hurricane intensity is NOT increasing. A recently published paper by University of Wisconsin atmospheric scientist Jim Kossin and colleagues states, "Using a homogeneous record, we were not able to corroborate the presence of upward trends in hurricane intensity over the past two decades in any basin other than the Atlantic. Since the Atlantic basin accounts for less than 15 precent of global hurricane activity, this result poses a challenge to hypotheses that directly relate globally increasing tropical SST to increases in long-term mean global hurricane intensity."

Between 1965 and 1970 the polar bear population was estimated at only 8,000 – 10,000 and it was classified as an endangered species. Since an international hunting ban in 1973 (not pertaining to native Inuits) the polar bear population has steadily increased to an estimated 20,000 – 40,000.

According to a new study, research done by the U.S. Department of the Interior to determine if global warming threatens the polar bear population is so flawed that it cannot be used to justify listing the polar bear as an endangered species. In regards to the sad photos we've all seen of stranded polar bears, Andrew Derocher of the World Conservation Union, and a professor of biological sciences at the University of Alberta in Edmonton concedes that "Contrary to concern over a celebrated photograph of a bear and its cub floating on a tiny iceberg, the animals often travel in that way. Bears will often hang out on glacier ice or large pieces of multi-year ice.”

According to the UK Telegraph, April 30, 2008:

BREAKING NEWS: Global Warming Will ‘Stop’, New Peer-Reviewed Study Says
Global Warming Takes a Break for Nearly 20 Years? "Global warming will stop until at least 2015 because of natural variations in the climate, scientists have said. Researchers studying long-term changes in sea temperatures said they now expect a “lull” for up to a decade while natural variations in climate cancel out the increases caused by man-made greenhouse gas emissions. The average temperature of the sea around Europe and North America is expected to cool slightly over the decade while the tropical Pacific remains unchanged. This would mean that the 0.3 °C global average temperature rise which has been predicted for the next decade by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change may not happen, according to the paper published in the scientific journal Nature."

Gilles Langis, a senior forecaster with the Canadian Ice Service in Ottawa, says the Arctic winter has been so severe the ice has not only recovered, it is actually 10 to 20 cm thicker in many places than at this time last year.

Excerpt from the UK Daily Express, Feb. 18,2008:

NEW evidence has cast doubt on claims that the world's ice-caps are melting, it emerged last night. Satellite data shows that concerns over the levels of sea ice may have been premature. It was feared that the polar caps were vanishing because of the effects of global warming. But figures from the respected US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration show that almost all the "lost" ice has come back. Ice levels which had shrunk from 13million sq km in January 2007 to just four million in October, are almost back to their original levels. Figures show that there is nearly a third more ice in Antarctica than is usual for the time of year.

Solar Activity Diminishes, Researchers Predict Another Ice Age

Dr. Kenneth Tapping, solar scientist and project director for Canada’s National Research Council says, “Solar activity comes in regular cycles, but the latest one is refusing to start. Sunspots have all but vanished, and activity is suspiciously quiet. The last time this happened was 400 years ago — and it signaled a solar event known as a “Maunder Minimum,” along with the start of what we now call the “Little Ice Age.”

Paleoclimate scientist Dr. Bob Carter, testifying 06/08 before the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment & Public Works, “The accepted global average temperature statistics used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) show that no ground-based warming has occurred since 1998. Oddly, this eight-year-long temperature stability has occurred despite an increase over the same period of 15 parts per million (or 4 per cent) in atmospheric CO2. Second, lower atmosphere satellite-based temperature measurements, if corrected for non-greenhouse influences such as El Nino events and large volcanic eruptions, show little if any global warming since 1979, a period over which atmospheric CO2 has increased by 55 parts per million (17 %).”

Excerpts from a 2007 Senate Floor Speech: Full text here »

An abundance of new peer-reviewed studies, analyses, and data error discoveries in the last several months has prompted scientists to declare that fear of catastrophic man-made global warming “bites the dust” and the scientific underpinnings for alarm are “falling apart.”

We are currently witnessing an international awakening of scientists who are speaking out in opposition to former Vice President Al Gore, the United Nations, the Hollywood elitists and the media-driven “consensus” on man-made global warming.

We have witnessed Antarctic ice GROW to record levels since satellite monitoring began in the 1970′s. We have witnessed NASA temperature data errors that have made 1934 — not 1998 — the hottest year on record in the U.S. We have seen global averages temperatures flat line since 1998 and the Southern Hemisphere cool in recent years.

These new developments in just the last six months are but a sample of the new information coming out that continues to debunk climate alarm.

Quote from “Unstoppable Global Warming Every 1500 Years,” by Environmental economist Dennis Avery and climate scientist Dr. Fred Singer,

“The earth has warmed only a net 0.2 degrees C of net warming since 1940. Human-emitted CO2 gets the blame for only half of that-or 0.1 degree C of warming over 65 years! We’ve had no warming at all since 1998. Remember, too, that each added unit of CO2 has less impact on the climate. The first 40 parts per million (ppm) of human-emitted CO2 added to the atmosphere in the 1940s had as much climate impact as the next 360 ppm.”

More to come…

  • Linnaea

    I had hoped this blog would seriously tackle conservative ideology (as its purpose was stated to be in the first posting). But unfortunately (and predictably), it appears this will be yet another voice for the same old right-wing talking points.
    Your numbers at first glance appear convincing, but of course it’s not possible to tackle such a complex topic as global warming in one short blog post. The sad thing is some may be swayed by your misleading statistics–far more likely, however, is that people who already subscribe to your “no global warming” theory will find some new numbers to throw at those who happen to agree with the vast majority of climate scientists: that global warming is a fact and man is contributing to it.
    I have struggled with the question of why some conservatives would want to deny global warming. Perhaps someone could illuminate me. But despite your claim that more scientists are turning against global warming, the opposite is true. More and more disbelievers, in the wake of overwhelming evidence, have had to accept the “inconvenient truth.”

  • sll

    informative and good article of the global warming issue. “Esoteric Agenda 2008″, may be a documentry that will amuse you.

  • Troy Keith

    Hello Linnaea, thanks for the feedback. Given the conservative cornerstones of less government and lower taxes, I’d have to say that the global warming issue would definitely fit within the boundaries of this blog – Particularly given the regulations and restrictions soon to come.

    If you have specific issues or points you’d like to see discussed here, I encourage you to post them.

    The fact that “my numbers appear convincing” is precisely the reason for this post. It’s admittedly far too complex to be handled in such a limited capacity, but I was hoping to show the vast amount of conflicting data and opinions that exist out there – the “consensus of opinion” that we rarely hear about in today’s media.

    I don’t seek to deny global warming – on the contrary, I think the earth has been warming and cooling for years – millions of them. I’d simply like to know the truth (inconvenient or otherwise) in regards to our ability to cause these changes before subscribing to the mass hysteria. The greater question for me is why do so many accept this idea without hesitation?

  • Bob

    The tide has been going out on anthropogenic global warming for some time now. It is a pernicious subset of the green religion.

    GK Chesterton:
    “When people stop believing in God, they don’t believe in nothing — they believe in anything.”

    A Few more links for those interested.

    Take a look at where NASA gets that data.

    David Archibald says solar driven cold is coming

    Freman Dyson

  • Dieselisbest

    How interesting that two of the comments turn this issue to a political agenda immediately. Could it be that is because the initiation of the “Global Warming crisis” was purely for political and personal gain? Could it be that some folks have a hard time admitting that they fell for the latest capitalist money grab scheme started by liberals and the incurably ignorant? Time will prove this whole issue to be exactly what it really is, a business and power grab venture.
    The sky is not and never has, fallen. It is incredibly arrogant for humans to think that they would have the power to effect anything on a global basis. I did not see any facts presented by the dissenters to refute the article. Hmmm, must not be time in their day to research in a comprehensive manner on the subject. Or, perhaps they only get their information from agenda driven sources. Those telling the “truth” about global warming or climate change have no agenda or profit driven motives unlike the other side. Truth is truth, like it or not. Sometimes the truth hurts!
    Jeez, the next thing you know we will be told that the production of ethenol will solve our energy problem! There is no shortage of energy sources on this earth, only the ability to use them for the benefit of the human race. I will choose people over critters and plants any day. There are over 20 species of polar bears inhabiting the earth. Only two are declining slightly in numbers. The others are flourishing and increasing in numbers in a large way despite global warming, climate change, the ozone hole (where did that issue go?), hunting, oil exploration and all the other evil, nasty human interventions into their habitat.
    I choose to base my opinions on subjects based on research and not what someone else tells me is right or correct. The truth is always present, albeit sometimes difficult to weed out of the popular noise.

  • Joe Snyder

    Yes remember the dust bowl of the 30s

  • Mary Lawrence

    For anyone interested in this topic, I highly recommend the new book: the Bridge at the Edge of the World by James Speth. It has received rave reviews for its comprehensive research. Beyond the discussion of the momentous threats to our world, he discusses sustainability options and strategies to be considered as well as how citizens will need to mobilize for transformative changes within the economy. He asks, why are we failing to preserve a habitable Earth?

  • MIKE

    Troy, I have really appreciated the interesting and factual articles on the “myth” of global warming. It is amazing how this has consumed some people to the point they can’t even open their eyes to the truth or facts anymore. Algore’s fictional movie, has been proven to be mostly made-up. He even admitted to it. How some people will still “go down with the ship” is beyond me. As far as Linnaea’s comment about “same old right wing talking points”, sounds somewhat hipocritical, when she’s using the “same old left wing talking points”. Get a new line, Linnaea, that one doesn’t apply when people are acually using their minds, and thinking for themselves. Conservatives that I know have always been open minded, and thinkers. Listening to all sides of an issue, such as global changes, and coming to their own conclusion, without having to follow what CNN, or any particular political party says. There are many, many (some feel the majority) of global/environmental scientists that don’t agree with the extremist global warming click. Thats enough for me to want to do more reading, research and pondering. I believe that God wants us to “take care of” his Earth, but not at the expense of the human population or are economies. Thanks again, Troy, for your hard work!

  • Mr Z

    Mr Keith,

    What a refreshing bit of truth here that you share with us. Hopefully the zealots of green austerity will not gain any more ground due to the light of day that people like you provide. I believe your blog is a source of internet treasure. Thank you.

  • andrewwang

    There is bad news about George Herbert Walker Bush.

    What if basically all racial-minority people would subscribe to the interpretations that George Herbert Walker Bush committed monstrous, racist, hate crimes while he was the President of the United States?

    It will eventually come out: it is only a matter of time.

    Respectfully Submitted by Andrew Yu-Jen Wang, J.D. Candidate
    B.S., With the Highest Level of Academic Honors at Graduation, 1996
    Messiah College, Grantham, PA
    Lower Merion High School, Ardmore, PA, 1993

    (I can type 90 words per minute, and there are thousands of copies on the Internet indicating the content of this post. And there are at least hundreds of copies in very many countries around the world.)
    “If only it were possible to ban invention that bottled up memories so they never got stale and faded.” Off the top of my head—it came from my Lower Merion High School yearbook.

  • Anonymous

    Picture’s worth a thousand words … found this on yahoo today, thought you’d appreciate it Troy. Enjoy the global warming spring we’re having, its BEAUTIFUL!!

    • troykeith

      They certainly are startling pictures if taken out of context.. The coming of nightfall would be an alarming event for a being that only lived for 24 hours and never witnessed a sunset. In the grand scheme of things, it’s simply part of a natural cycle. Many sources point out that Antarctic ice is actually growing. Whether the earth is now in a warming or cooling phase or certain glaciers are growing or receding at this point in time does not lead definitively, in my opinion, to an anthropogenic cause.

      By jim_robbins on Jan. 10, 2010
      “report from the US National Snow and Ice Data Center in Colorado finds that Arctic summer sea ice has increased by 409,000 square miles, or 26 per cent, since 2007.”

  • jeff4

    Picture's worth a thousand words … found this on yahoo today, thought you'd appreciate it Troy. Enjoy the global warming spring we're having, its BEAUTIFUL!!

  • troykeith

    They certainly are startling pictures if taken out of context.. The coming of nightfall would be an alarming event for a being that only lived for 24 hours and never witnessed a sunset. In the grand scheme of things, it's simply part of a natural cycle. Many sources point out that Antarctic ice is actually growing. Whether the earth is now in a warming or cooling phase or certain glaciers are growing or receding at this point in time does not lead definitively, in my opinion, to an anthropogenic cause.

    By jim_robbins on Jan. 10, 2010
    “report from the US National Snow and Ice Data Center in Colorado finds that Arctic summer sea ice has increased by 409,000 square miles, or 26 per cent, since 2007.”

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